Nathan Freier

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1) At our own peril: DoD risk assessment in a post-primacy world

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Freier, Nathan

2) Post-COVID transformation: DOD goes into the Matrix?

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Freier, Nathan

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"Like Neo, DOD has its own difficult "red or blue" choice on the near-horizon. COVID forced the issue. DOD's choice is between prudent risk-taking, transformation, and increased hypercompetitiveness (red) on the one hand, and status quo, steady decline, and inevitable loss of position in key regions and domains on the other (blue). As in the case of Neo, we suggest that DOD choose the former (red pill) transformational option"--Page 2.

3) An Army transformed: USINDOPACOM hypercompetition and US Army theater design

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Freier, Nathan

4) Memorandum for SECDEF: restore "shock" in strategic planning

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Freier, Nathan

5) The new balance: limited armed stabilization and the future of U.S. landpower

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Freier, Nathan

6) Toward a risk management defense strategy

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Freier, Nathan

7) Known unknowns: unconventional "strategic shocks" in defense strategy development

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Freier, Nathan

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The current defense team confronted a game-changing "strategic shock" in its first 8 months in office. The next team would be well-advised to expect the same. Defense-relevant strategic shocks jolt convention to such an extent that they force sudden, unanticipated change in the Department of Defense's (DoD) perceptions about threat, vulnerability, and strategic response. Their unanticipated onset forces the entire defense enterprise to reorient and...